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"Professional traders have always had some system or other based
upon their experience and governed either by their attitude toward
speculation or by their desires. I remember I met an old gentleman
in Palm Beach whose name I did not catch or did not at once
identify. I knew he had been in the street for years, way back in
Civil War times, and somebody told me that he was a very wise old
codger who had gone through so many booms and panics that he was
always saying there was nothing new under the sun and least of all
in the stock market.
The old fellow asked me a lot of questions. When I got through
telling him about my usual practice in trading he nodded and said,
"Yes! Yes! You're right. The way you're built, the way your mind
runs, makes your system a good system for you. It comes easy for you
to practice what you preach, because the money you bet is the least
of your cares. I recollect Pat Hearne. Ever hear of him? Well, he
was a very well-known sporting man and he had an account with us.
Clever chap and merry. He made money in stocks, and that made people
ask him for advice. He would never give any. If they asked him
point-blank for his opinion about the wisdom of their commitments he
used a favourite race-track maxim of his: "you can't tell till you
bet. " He traded in our office. He would buy one hundred shares of
some active stock and when, or if, it went up 1 per cent he would
buy another hundred. On another point's advance, another hundred
shares; and so on. He used to say he wasn't playing the game to make
money for others and therefore he would put in a stop-loss order one
point below the price of his last purchase. When the price kept
going up he simply move up his stop with it. On a 1 per cent
reaction he was stopped out. He declared he did not see any sense in
losing more than one point, whether it came out of his original
margin or out of his paper profits.
"You know, a professional gambler is not looking for long shots, but
for sure money. Of course long shots are fine when they come in. In
the stock market Pat wasn't after tips or playing to catch
twenty-points-a-week advances, but sure money in sufficient quantity
to provide him with a good living. Of all the thousands of outsiders
that I have run across in Wall Street, Pat Hearne was the only one
who saw in stock speculation merely a game of chance like faro or
roulette, but nevertheless, had the sense to stick to a relatively
sound betting method.
"After Hearne's death one of our customers who had always traded
with Pat and used his system made over one hundred thousand dollars
in Lackawanna. Then he switched over to some other stock and because
he had made a big stake he thought he need not stick to Pat's way.
When a reaction came, instead of cutting short his losses he let
them run - as though they were profits. Of course every cent went.
When he finally quit he owed us several thousand dollars."
I sometimes think that speculation must be an unnatural sort of
business, because I find that the average speculator has arrayed
against him his own nature. The weaknesses that all men are prone to
are fatal to success in speculation - usually those very weaknesses
that make him likable to his fellows or that he himself particularly
guards against in those other ventures of his where they are not
nearly so dangerous as when he is trading in stocks or commodities.
The speculator's chief enemies are always boring from within. It is
inseparable from human nature to hope and to fear. In speculation
when the market goes against you - you hope that every day will be
the last day - and you lose more than you should had you not
listened to hope - to the same ally that is so potent a
success-bringer to empire builders and pioneers, big and little. And
when the market goes your way you become fearful that the next day
will take away your profit, and you get out - to soon. Fear keeps
you from making as much money as you ought to.
The successful trader
has to fight these two deep-seated instincts. He has to reverse what
you might call his natural impulses. Instead of hoping he must fear;
instead of fearing he must hope. He must fear that his loss may
develop into a much bigger loss, and hope that his profit may become
a big profit. It is absolutely wrong to gamble in stocks the way the
average man does.
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator By Edwin Lefevre
Lesson: Every one has a modus operandi - a method- a system by which
they operate. Do Not deviate from that method or system if you
understand it and it has treated you well. Adjust, fine tune - yes.
- Learn to reverse your natural instincts. Re-read the last
paragraph again.
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